Sesemil producers pack coffee beans for sale in Copan |
That’s a risky dependency any time you’ve got a
commodity whose prices bob up and down as much as coffee. But climate change is
adding a whole new layer of risk, bringing plagues and uncertain growing
conditions to torment small coffee producers with little ability to ride out
rough times.
Producers knew going into the current harvest
season that they were up against a persistent fungus that has been spreading
with abandon through a widely grown strain of coffee plant, says the
administrator of an agricultural co-operative of organic coffee growers based in Copan Ruinas, Wilson Colindres.
Work is already underway to develop and plant more resistant strains to slow
the spread of la roya.
But the
impact is turning out to be much worse than anyone expected, Colindres said
when I talked to him last week at the co-operative's offices in Sesesmil, Copan. He
fears the 2012-13 harvest season will be the worst in the co-operative’s
history, with production down by half for the 39 Copan and Comayagua growers
who belong to the 12-year-old co-op.
Coffee has been a very good fit for the country
up until now. Honduras’s legions of
small producers operate with little margin for error, but coffee thrives on
Honduras’s forested slopes without the need for costly irrigation systems or
major interventions as long as a grower pays attention to soil quality and
plant regeneration. The clockwork nature of Honduras’s rainy season
was also good for coffee-growing, as it always started in early May and
continued with heavy daily afternoon rains right through June. Coffee plants
set a lot of fruit when they’re getting both heat and plenty of rain.
The healthy plant on the left looks strikingly different than the defoliated plants all around it |
This year’s yields have been dramatically
affected, says Colindres. But it’s a problem for coming years as well, as the
sick, spindly plants don’t recover quickly.
And while growers are already planting more
fungus-resistant varieties to try to reduce their losses, Colindres says the
flavour of the beans isn’t as good from those strains. The world’s coffee
drinkers are a notoriously finicky lot when it comes to the taste of their
favourite brew, so that’s worrying producers as well.
What can be done? COAPROCL has just started
into a new project with my organization, the Comision de Accion Social
Menonita, to improve soil quality at organic fincas and increase plant health.
Healthy plants are better able to resist la
roya. Other projects are striving to
increase the amount and quality of ground water in the region through better
watershed management.
Some growers are planting resistant strains and
hoping that flavour concerns will take care of themselves. Coffee plants produce in their third year and are ideally replaced every eight or so years for maximum productivity (although that's often not the case among Honduras's small producers), so many growers are
accustomed to adding new plants every season anyway.
I walked
the Sesemil finca of Alfredo Morales, president of the co-operative, and noted a few “survivor”
plants thriving amid their defoliated brethren, despite being from
the same vulnerable strain. No doubt scientists are studying such examples of natural
resistance as well.
Coffee beans drying at the coffee cooperative in Sesemil, Copan |
In the short term, the next couple of months
are still a happy time for Hondurans. Some two million men, women and children participate
in the annual coffee harvest, counting on it to provide money for all the
things they aren’t able to afford at any other time of year.
This is a time of buying new clothes for the kids; finishing off the community water tank; paying off the loans and store credits that got the family through the last half of the year; adding another room on the house.
This is a time of buying new clothes for the kids; finishing off the community water tank; paying off the loans and store credits that got the family through the last half of the year; adding another room on the house.
But in the longer term, Honduras is up against
a global change in weather that is expected to wreak havoc within as little as
five years with many of the crops grown in the country, including essential food crops such as beans and corn. The emergence of a devastating coffee fungus
is not just a stroke of bad luck for a country that has certainly known no
shortage of it, but a mere sample of what’s to come if the country can’t adapt
to a rapidly changing environment.
Dryer, hotter weather is not just the problem of
the moment. It’s a permanent change that puts the country at grave risk of
slipping even further in world rankings for malnutrition, poverty,
maternal/child health and more. Efforts to
help Honduran producers adapt, mitigate and diversify can’t come soon enough.